Karam Shaar Advisory LTD
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1- Do you think Turkey will launch a military operation in Syria in the upcoming three month?* YesNo
2- When do you expect the operation to start? * June 2022July 2022August 2022
3- What are Turkey’s motives for the operation [not mutually exclusive]? (Grade the following motives in terms of significance from irrelevant to very significant)
– To create a safe zone for Syrian refugees to return from Turkey
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– To deal with the terrorist threat emanating from the Syrian Democratic Forces
– To increase Turkey’s leverage and thus its ability to arrive at a sustainable end to the conflict
– Other [specify and grade]
4- Which urban centres do you expect Turkey aims to capture?* ManbijTal RifaatKobaneQamishlyAmoudaOther (please add)
5- Add any remark you’d like to be presented to the audience (280 characters max)
If you would like to recommend an expert to respond to this survey, please add her/his information here:
2- Why do you think Turkey will not launch a military operation? (rank the following reasons in terms of significance from irrelevant to very significant)
– Due to US opposition
– Due to Russian opposition
– Fear of military confrontation with SDF
– Fear of military confrontation with al-Assad forces
– Domestic politics
– Other (please specify)