Experts Survey of the possible Turkish operation in Northern Syria Full Name* Email* Organization Position 1- Do you think Turkey will launch a military operation in Syria in the upcoming three month?* YesNo 2- When do you expect the operation to start? * June 2022July 2022August 2022 3- What are Turkey’s motives for the operation [not mutually exclusive]? (Grade the following motives in terms of significance from irrelevant to very significant) - To create a safe zone for Syrian refugees to return from Turkey 12345 - To deal with the terrorist threat emanating from the Syrian Democratic Forces 12345 - To increase Turkey’s leverage and thus its ability to arrive at a sustainable end to the conflict 12345 - Other [specify and grade] 12345 4- Which urban centres do you expect Turkey aims to capture?* ManbijTal RifaatKobaneQamishlyAmoudaOther (please add) 5- Add any remark you’d like to be presented to the audience (280 characters max) If you would like to recommend an expert to respond to this survey, please add her/his information here: 2- Why do you think Turkey will not launch a military operation? (rank the following reasons in terms of significance from irrelevant to very significant) - Due to US opposition 12345 - Due to Russian opposition 12345 - Fear of military confrontation with SDF 12345 - Fear of military confrontation with al-Assad forces 12345 - Domestic politics 12345 - Other (please specify) 12345 5- Add any remark you’d like to be presented to the audience (280 characters max) If you would like to recommend an expert to respond to this survey, please add her/his information here:
