Karam Shaar Advisory LTD

Issue 15

Syria’s Economy a Year into Assad’s Downfall: The Good, the Bad, and Ugly

Karam Shaar Post-conflict power transitions are inherently messy; one year is far too short to fully disentangle signal from noise. That said, while Syria’s economic end state remains uncertain, the direction of travel is becoming clearer. The Good Unlike many pessimistic predictions, I believe the economy is on a strong

The Syrian Pound: A Year of Signals and Volatility
Issue 15

The Syrian Pound: A Year of Signals and Volatility

Following a year marked by profound political and economic shifts in Syria, the exchange rate of the pound (SYP) remained the most immediate and telling proxy for the country’s pervasive uncertainty. Throughout 2025, the pound experienced fluctuations reflecting the fragility of the monetary environment and the market’s acute sensitivity to

The Syrian People’s Assembly 2025: Electoral Results and Representation Gaps
Issue 15

The Syrian People’s Assembly 2025: Electoral Results and Representation Gaps

Nearly a year after Assad’s toppling, the October 2025 parliamentary elections marked the first institutional test of the transitional period. While the new People’s Assembly operates within an incomplete constitutional framework—most notably lacking a Supreme Constitutional Court and a High Judicial Council, which constrains its independence and oversight capacity—this article

Issue 15

Beyond Iran: Where Is Syria Importing Oil From?

On the eve of the Assad regime’s collapse in December 2024, an Iranian oil tanker bound for Syria made a U-turn in the Red Sea. Once an oil exporter producing around 150,000 barrels per day (bpd) in 2010, Syria had, during the conflict, become dependent on Iranian oil imports. Between

Israel’s Expanding Military Footprint in Syria: One Year On
Issue 15

Israel’s Expanding Military Footprint in Syria: One Year On

Within hours of opposition fighters arriving in Damascus on 8 December 2024, Israeli military forces launched a large-scale ground operation into Syria, taking control of the 50-year-old demilitarized zone and advancing deeper into parts of western Daraa and Quneitra. In total, approximately 350 square kilometers of territory were captured, stretching

Issue 14

The Revival of Syria’s Gas Pipeline Network

After a decade of war and sabotage, gas is again flowing in through neighbouring countries, with Qatar footing the bill. Syria’s new energy map is taking shape, revealing who is powering the recovery—and gaining influence.

Issue 14

From Deflation to Uncertainty

Syria’s deflation is already slipping, just as the Central Bank stops publishing inflation data. Fresh WFP figures show living costs quietly rebounding, exposing how fragile the recent “stability” really was.

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